As long as Democrats are divided on the WOT,
I like our chances.
(1) 40% who approve of the job the President is doing.
(2) 35% who will never approve of anything any Republican does, ever.
25% who think that the President is not pursuing the WOT aggressively enough.
So 60ish percent are not jazzed about the job the President is doing - but that 60ish percent are deeply divided internally.
The Democrats believe that everyone in group (3) is really part of group (2) and will vote Democratic in November.
I think they are sorely mistaken.
Not only that but they are focussed on dumping Lieberman now. When Lieberman runs third party this will keep the focus of that. I do expect the Dems to hype another gas crisis but we've seen so many of them and beating up corporate America has never worked in the past.
homosexual marriage (a very minor issue in the big picture, which is of great significance to a very small minority in this country),
the War on Drugs (a massive failure which has inflated police department budgets and helped promote a police state mentality, as well as filling our prisons with people who would not be in jail if drugs were not illegal), and
the War on Poverty
are more important than the War on Terror.
Besides, there are few national races(one, actually), and they are held every four years; 2006 is not one of those years.
Republicans are becoming divided on Iraq. Not so much whether we should be there but many are unhappy with our passive PC way of fighting it. Ofcourse this would NEVER cause the 'unhappy' republicans to vote for a democrat but it could cause them to not be excited enough to drive to the polls and vote.