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To: jeffers

My thoughts - News of Hizbullah's reannouncement of intent to hit TelAviv and Chinese govt telling everyone to get out of Isrel within all reported within an hours time span. That's an awfully fast turn around time for the Chinese govt don't you think, unless of course they knew something in advance. Or this could all be the Jack Daniels i had last night talking to me ;)


253 posted on 08/03/2006 6:33:50 AM PDT by jhp
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To: jhp

hp wrote:
My thoughts - News of Hizbullah's reannouncement of intent to hit TelAviv and Chinese govt telling
everyone to get out of Isrel within all reported within an hours time span. That's an awfully fast turn
around time for the Chinese govt don't you think, unless of course they knew something in advance.





All kinds of math comes in to play in this type calculation, how long reports from one source take to get to you, versus another source, and how long those same reports take to get to decision makers, such as the Chinese, in comparison.

We're talking about a vewry significant development here, the odds that this conflict are likely to expand to include Iran and Syria, and most likely Iraq and the US and Britian.

That's a big step, and even though I may be trending in that direction, it will take a lot for me to publicly state that I believe regional expansion is more likely than not.

Specific points of data support are useful for distributing an idea of the types of calculations now in play, but are meaningless in actual calculation. Right now I can only state that I do not see regional expansion as inevitable.


267 posted on 08/03/2006 6:42:53 AM PDT by jeffers
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