I'll tell you after Sunday's demonstration in Mexico City CA. It's really difficult to tell. But I am about to put majority odds on violence unless I see something move in the other direction soon.
I am thinking (and hoping) you are wrong. I have been reading editorials in Mexico nailing Obrador as being a whiner.
Having said that I know that his supporters are capable of violence but somehow I am counting on Mexico's greater grasp on stability ... or greater than most Latin American state's.