Yes, warming -- and drying in some parts of the world that have been used to more rainfall. In the lifetimes of many of us, months of heavy snowfall and blizzards were common in winter across much of the lower 48 states. Now it's relatively uncommon.
Hot weather of 100 degrees or more as far north as Seattle were very rare. Now they are not uncommon.
As you say, is this warming due to human activity or a natural cycle, or a combination of both. I think it's the latter.