Replies

FairOpinion: "HOW MANY TIMES DID A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNOR FOLLOW A LEFT LIBERAL ONE?"

Record for Conservative GOP Governors following liberal Democrat predecessors (since 1988):

AL: 2 (1994-Fob James (R) d. Jim Folsom, Jr. (D); 2002-Bob Riley (R) d. Don Siegelman (D)
AK: 2 (1990-Walter J. Hickel (AIP) succeeded Steve Cowper (D); 2002-Frank Murkowski (R) succeeded Tony Knowles (D))
AZ: 1 (1990-Fife Symington (R) succeeded Rose Mofford (D))
AR: 1 (1996-Mike Huckabee (R) succeeded Jim Guy Tucker (D))
CA: Not applicable
CO: 1 (1998-Bill Owens (R) succeeded Roy Romer (D))
CT: 1 (1994-John Rowland (R) succeeded Lowell Weicker (I))
DE: Not applicable
FL: 1 (1998-Jeb Bush (R) succeeded and defeated Buddy MacKay (D))
GA: 1 (2002-Sonny Perdue (R) d. Roy Barnes (D))
HI: Not applicable (Lingle a RINO)
ID: 1 (1994-Phil Batt (R) succeeded Cecil Andrus (D))
IL: Not applicable
IN: 1 (2004-Mitch Daniels (R) succeeded Joe Kernan (D))
IA: Not applicable
KS: Not applicable
KY: 1 (2003-Ernie Fletcher (R) succeeded Paul Patton (D))
LA: 1 (1995-Mike Foster (R) succeeded Edwin Edwards (D))
ME: Not applicable
MD: 1* (2002-Bob Ehrlich (R) succeeded Parris Glendening (D))
MA: Not applicable (RINO Weld succeeded Dukakis (D) in '90)
MI: 1 (1990-John Engler (R) d. Jim Blanchard (D))
MN: 1 (2002-Tim Pawlenty (R) succeeded Jesse Ventura (Ref))
MS: 2 (1991-Kirk Fordice (R) d. Ray Mabus (D); 2003-Haley Barbour (R) d. Ronnie Musgrove (D))
MO: 1 (2004-Matt Blunt (R) succeeded Bob Holden (D))
MT: Not applicable
NE: Not applicable
NV: 1* (1998-Kenny Guinn (R) succeeded Bob Miller (D))
NH: 1 (2002-Craig Benson (R) succeeded Jeanne Shaheen (D))
NJ: Not applicable (*but some consider Christie Whitman to have run Conservative campaign in '93 to defeat Jim Florio (D))
NM: 1 (1994-Gary Johnson (R) d. Bruce King (D))
NY: 1 (1994-George Pataki (R) d. Mario Cuomo (D))
NC: Not applicable
ND: 1 (1992-Ed Schaefer (R) succeeded George Sinner (D))
OH: Not applicable (*but some consider Voinovich to have run Conservative campaign in '90 to succeed Dick Celeste (D))
OK: 1 (1994-Frank Keating (R) succeeded Dave Walters (D))
OR: Not applicable
PA: Not applicable
RI: Not applicable
SC: 1 (2002-Mark Sanford (R) d. Jim Hodges (D))
SD: Not applicable
TN: 1* (1994-Don Sundquist (R) succeeded Ned Ray McWherter (D))
TX: 1 (1994-George W. Bush (R) d. Ann Richards (D))
UT: Not applicable
VT: Not applicable
VA: 1 (1993-George Allen (R) succeeded Doug Wilder (D))
WA: Not applicable
WV: 1 (1996-Cecil Underwood (R) succeeded Gaston Caperton (D))
WI: Not applicable
WY: 1 (1994-Jim Geringer (R) succeeded Mike Sullivan (D))

*Many or some consider Ehrlich, Guinn, Sundquist RINO (though didn't campaign as such).

So there you have it, 32 instances when a Republican campaigning or governing AS a Conservative succeeded or defeated a liberal Democrat (or liberal Independent, in the case of CT) since 1988. That's 30 more times than a Conservative Republican succeeded a RINO liberal.

all that shows is that sometimes Dems get elected, sometims Republicans -- that's the nature of elections. Where is cause and effect? Are you going to tell us next that it was a good thing to have had Bill Clinton for 8 years, and otherwise George Bush wouldn't have gotten elected?

I guess logic and reasoning is not your strong suit.

Now show me the demographics of those states.

CALIFORNIA VOTER AND PARTY PROFILES

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/JTF_VoterProfilesJTF.pdf

"The Democratic Party currently has an advantage of 1.4 million voters over the Republican Party (7.1 million to 5.7 million) or 9 percentage points (43% to 34%), according to the Secretary of State.

Among those most likely to vote in this year’s elections, Democrats outnumber Republicans by a 7-point margin (44% to 37%), while 15 percent of likely voters are registered as independents.

... the fact that independents are more likely to lean toward Democrats than Republicans (42% to 28%) tends to work to the disadvantage of the GOP in statewide elections."