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To: Corin Stormhands
I have no worries about him winning over the midwest.

I don't think he'll manage that.

Voters often look for a different type of person to fill the White House than the man who served immediately prior. They turned to John F. Kennedy after Dwight Eisenhower. They opted for Bill Clinton after George H.W. Bush. They opted for George W. Bush after Clinton.

If Republican voters decide that eight years of George W. Bush is enough, they may well look for a different kind of person to carry their party’s banner in 2008. And that’s why Allen is no longer the man to beat for the GOP presidential nomination. Source

I don't know if this is true of Republicans, but it describes the swing voters pretty well, and I doubt the GOP would want to lose them.

A lot of what people found appealing about Bush in 2000 has lost its attraction for crucial voting blocs.

Voters will probably be looking for another sort of candidate in 2008, so coming across like George Bush won't be an asset for George Allen.

2008 won't be a good year for a Republican who wants to come across as "Old South" either.

102 posted on 07/19/2006 2:09:54 PM PDT by x
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To: x
I don't think he'll manage that.

I'm confident you'll be proven wrong. Talk to me after he takes care of this year's Senate race.

106 posted on 07/19/2006 7:35:49 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands (HHD: Join the Hobbit Hole Troop Support - http://freeper.the-hobbit-hole.net/)
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