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I would have to hold my nose, but I would have to go with McCain for the following reason

from Project Vote Smart:

2005 Senator McCain supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 0 percent in 2005.
2005 Senator Lieberman supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 75 percent in 2005.

2004 Senator McCain supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 0 percent in 2004.
2004 Senator Lieberman supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 100 percent in 2004.

2003-2004 Senator McCain supported the interests of the National Right to Life Committee 82 percent in 2003-2004.
2003-2004 Senator Lieberman supported the interests of the National Right to Life Committee 0 percent in 2003-2004.

2003-2004 Senator Lieberman supported the interests of the Democrats for Life of America 0 percent in 2003-2004.

2003 Senator McCain supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 0 percent in 2003.
2003 Senator Lieberman supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 100 percent in 2003.

2001-2002 Senator Lieberman supported the interests of the National Right to Life Committee 0 percent in 2001-2002.

His voting record on abortion is easily explained by the fact that he wants to maintain a power base in the Republican Party--- these votes tend to be party-line and don't tell us whether he would follow President Bush 41, 43 and President Reagan with respect to the Mexico City Policy, or whether he would be inclined to appoint judges who don't see abortion as a Constitutionally guaranteed right.

John McCain on Roe vs. Wade:

“I’d love to see a point where it (Roe v. Wade) is irrelevant, and could be repealed because abortion is no longer necessary. But certainly in the short term, or even the long term, I would not support repeal of Roe v. Wade, which would then force X number of women in America to [undergo] illegal and dangerous operations.”

http://www.nrlc.org/Election2000/mccain/prolife_case_against_mccain.html

John McCain's record on pro-life issues is very poor, for a Republican-- pretty much like his record on everything else except the question of whether the United States should withdraw before victory in Iraq.