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To: conservative in nyc
Well it looks like Obrador will win. Any hard speculation from knowledgeable FReepers about what might actually happen with Obrador in power?

Let's see, Mexico's economy is already low, and socialism just pushes economies lower. He'll funnel oil money into non-wealth producing dole payments. I read on another thread that Mexico only has 10 years of major oil reserves left (unless they pump more from the Caribbean, but let's at least assume economic disruption from falling oil supplies).

So where does that leave us? A big crash in Mexico sooner or later, yet more Mexicans heading up here. But here we are way past the tolerance point and state and local legislatures are already picking up where the feds are failing, with big time pressure on national politicians building.

I predicate a truly crappy experience for the Mexican people under this (6 year term!) president, and a rapid and final hardening of immigration enforcement in the US with a shocking shift of US government, if that is what is necessary to align it with the people's wishes on immigration.
74 posted on 07/05/2006 7:17:03 PM PDT by starbase (Understanding Written Propaganda (click "starbase" to learn 22 manipulating tricks!!))
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To: starbase
predicate = predict
75 posted on 07/05/2006 7:18:58 PM PDT by starbase (Understanding Written Propaganda (click "starbase" to learn 22 manipulating tricks!!))
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To: starbase
He'll funnel oil money into non-wealth producing dole payments.

I read that Obrador supports privatizing Mexico's oil.

456 posted on 07/05/2006 11:23:55 PM PDT by lucysmom
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