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Home loan demand drops as rates hit 4-year high
Yahoo News ^ | 6-28-06 | Julie Haviv

Posted on 06/28/2006 5:19:01 AM PDT by Hydroshock

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. mortgage applications fell last week as interest rates hit their highest in over four years, an industry trade group said on Wednesday.

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The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity for the week ended June 23 decreased 6.7 percent to 529.6 from the previous week's 567.6.

Borrowing costs on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, excluding fees, averaged 6.86 percent, up 0.13 percentage point from the previous week, its highest level since April 12, 2002 when it reached 6.92 percent.

The MBA's seasonally adjusted purchase mortgage index fell 6.2 percent to 389.0.

The purchase index, which is considered a timely gauge of U.S. home sales, was substantially below its year-ago level of 477.4.

The group's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications decreased 7.5 percent to 1,356.0. A year earlier the index stood at 2,529.2.

The refinance share of applications decreased to 35.3 percent from 35.5 percent the previous week.

Fixed 15-year mortgage rates averaged 6.49 percent, up from 6.37 percent the previous week. Rates on one-year adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) increased to 6.36 percent from 6.22 percent.

The ARM share of activity decreased to 29.1 percent of total applications from 29.6 percent the previous week.

Historically low mortgage rates have fueled a five-year housing boom, helping support the U.S. economy's recovery from recession despite uncertain business investment.

While analysts differ on whether or not there is a housing bubble, most agree that the market is cooling off from its record run.

The MBA's soft data followed separate reports this week showing a mixed picture of the U.S. housing sector.

The National Association of Realtors on Tuesday said the pace of sales of existing homes in the United States fell 1.2 percent in May as higher interest rates damped buying activity in May but were a shade above market forecasts.

Sales of existing U.S. homes fell to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 6.67 million units in May from a downwardly revised level of 6.75 million in April. May's rate was 6.6 percent below the pace of 7.14 million units a year earlier.

The Commerce Department on Monday said sales of new single-family U.S. homes again defied predictions of a slowdown in May and rose 4.6 percent.

The pace of new home sales rose to a seasonally adjusted 1.234 million-unit annual rate from a downwardly revised 1.180 million unit pace in April, the Commerce Department said.

The MBA's survey covers about 50 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage loans. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts.

(Additional reporting by David Lawder)


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: andagonyonme; anguish; bubbleboy; bubblespam; despair; despondent; gloom; grapesofwrath; helpme; iluvwilliegreen; imreallytxbsafh; imtomjoad; misery; runawayrunaway; skyisfalling; wearedoomed; whydoipostthiscrap; williegreenismyhero; woeisme

1 posted on 06/28/2006 5:19:04 AM PDT by Hydroshock
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To: Hydroshock; ex-Texan; HamiltonJay; ContemptofCourt; Mariner

ping


2 posted on 06/28/2006 5:39:23 AM PDT by Hydroshock ( (Proverbs 22:7). The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.)
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To: Hydroshock

Wow!

Interest rates go up. The number of new home purchases goes down.

No doubt, the historically low interest rates we just enjoyed encouraged many people to rush in and buy before interest rates started shooting up again.

Those smart homebuyers don't need to buy in today's higher interest rate environment, so it should be no surprise that sales rates have fallen back towards more "normal" levels.

I'd say that everyone who purchased a new home before low rate mortgages dried up now looks like a GENIUS.


3 posted on 06/28/2006 5:59:10 AM PDT by pfony1
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To: Hydroshock

Anyone who looks at historical numbers should see that 6 point anything is still a pretty decent interest rate on a home. This is nothing. 11 or 12% is a tough interest rate. 6.9 is quite decent, even if it's not as smoking good as the recent low rates.


4 posted on 06/28/2006 6:48:42 AM PDT by Huck (Hey look, I'm still here.)
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To: pfony1

Woo-hoo. I'm a genius!


5 posted on 06/28/2006 6:49:32 AM PDT by Huck (Hey look, I'm still here.)
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To: Huck

Its amazing how so many people confuse fortunate timing, and environmental factors that they had no control over with genius.


6 posted on 06/28/2006 9:12:53 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay
Yeah, genius is a strong word. But it's nice to learn from observation. I was in my early 20s in 92-93, last time we went thru this cycle of recession, followed by stimulative rate cuts, followed by a housing boom. I wasn't in a position to capitalize, but I learned from it, and next time around, I was ready to get in on it. But all I did was buy my first home.

If I'd reeeeally been a genius, I'd have leveraged myself more than I am usually comfortable with, bought a few homes, and flipped em about 18-24 months ago. I'd have made a pretty penny. Next time. Seems fairly predictable. Recession brings rate cuts. Rate cuts plus a sour stock market stimulate home buying. Home buying feeds more home buying for a while. Just don't get caught without a chair when the music stops.

7 posted on 06/28/2006 10:12:52 AM PDT by Huck (Hey look, I'm still here.)
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