The naysayers claim that Bush is not benefitting from the strong trends in his favor in recent months. He has clearly had his approval eroded from the right over immigration. The fact that he is still up a bit in the polls indicates a relatively strong rebound from the political center. And considering that opinions move more slowly than day-to-day events, we can expect him to gain more ground in the weeks and months ahead.
They keep asking the same stupid people the same stupid question, and continue to get the same stupid answers.
When I asked him why, he answer made me think.
"We're knocking him down, but after awhile, its going to start to look like bullying and then people are going to start feeling sorry for him and we're going to start looking bad".
His example was that it happened with Bill Clinton. Its a bad example, but it did make think about it.
(Denny Crane: "Every one should carry a gun strapped to their waist. We need more - not less guns.")
I don't think Bush is running in a single race this year. But he can still raise money like no one before him. Poor wiberals, whaaaaaa !
He'd get a good bounce if he'd follow these things up with being a true conservative and attacking immigration and the budget in an appropriate manner.
As it is, he has had some nice events occur, but there's been no shift in action.
I suspect that if Bush came out against guest worker programs and strictly for border enforcement, his approval would go up 5-10%. Plainly a conservative element.
Further, if you look at American opinion on the issues, it ends up roughly supporting the Bush policies on most, such as Iraq. But the media will keep showing you a hindsight poll that many Americans think the Iraq war was a "mistake". But ask what they want done now, and most describe the Bush policy.
Whatever...there seems to bricks in the Democrats balloon.
Forget poll numbers. They'll slowly inch up until he leaves office, but they'll never be over 50% again (unless he serves up bin Laden's head on a platter on live television).
Congressional job approval at historic lows. 25.8% approval, 63% disapproval. Intelligent people know that congress is the problem.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/archive/?poll_id=18#data
In the media rush to trash conservatives, Republicans, and the presidency; they are highlighting the failures of congress and congressional "leadership".
This is having its toll, in the form of a backlash. Add to that the factual evidence that Bush's plan IS working, that there not only were but ARE WMDs in Iraq, that Iran cannot be negotiated with, the North Korean crisis is a direct result of Democrat stupidity, etc. etc. etc. and we have what one could expect, the reversal of fortune many have expected. We don't believe the propagandistic lies of the Democrat talking points authors, and time has a way of exposing these baseless lies to more and more people. Time is the Democrats enemy, and Bush's friend.
Under Clinton, the positive economic figures (many inflated, and none as impressive as Bush's) were emphasized as mitigating factors in assessing that particular presidency.
Bottom line is that it's all Beltway Baseball, and Bush won his two terms. The media is now in the mode of setting up the '08 election profile. It's nonsense.
Take this poll and stick it...
A "dead cat bounce"?! . . . only in the dreams of leftists/uber-cons and their MSM enablers:
GALLUP
38% approve 56% disapprove (-18)
vs
31% approve 65% disapprove (-34) in early May
+16 point gain for President Bush
FOXNEWS
40% approve 52% disapprove (-12)
vs
33% approve 57% disapprove (-24) in early May
+12 point gain for President Bush
RASMUSSEN
42% approve 56% disapprove (-14)
vs
36% approve 62% disapprove (-26) in early May
+12 point gain for President Bush
Additional Points:
-- These same polls give the President between 79% and 88% approval from Republicans . . . yes, the President's base remains intact!
-- The President's JA ratings started moving up AFTER his major immigration speech/travels.
-- These same pollsters give Democrats between a 3 and 12 point advantage in their respective weighting formulas -- without this Democrat advantage, the President's JA rating would reach 50% (likely voters), which is exactly where the President was polling before his re-election!
Eventually the liberals are going to figure out that Bush is not up for re election.
Rasmussen has him at 44% now. He'll be above 50 in another few months if things keep going.
In March of 2004, Bush was supposedly doomed because no one with such low poll numbers had ever been reelected as president. In 2002, the Republicans were about to lose both houses of Congress because of their low poll numbers.
Great point. After all these years of being beat-up by the liberal press, its amazing their slanted polls don't have him down to single digits. If they thought they could maintain a thin veneer of credibility, they would do that, though. They had Sen. Dole beaten by Clinton by 18% at one point. The actual vote was around 6-7% I believe.
One of these days I have got to try to search for that post by a fellow FReeper in '96, where he extrapolated the numbers of a Los Angeles Times poll, because there were sufficient types of questions, that he could determine that around 59% of respondents were women. In '96, women, as a voting group, were leaning heavily ( & precariously) toward Clinton. Naturally, the poll stating Clinton's lead was in double-digits was "just a bit skewed."
They don't use lie-detectors when they poll, so those results are nothing but the results that the customers were paying for. They just call enough hundreds until they get their result. If 700 people give you the right numbers, you stop, or you continue to 800 or 1000. So many ways to fix these polls as an efficient propoganda tool.
I used to have a webpage up about polls, and I wish I hadn't lost it. It was pushing (during '96 election) for the "Truth In Polling Act" but after contacting my Congressional folks, they said they were making their own version of a bill to at least require these pollsters to release their demographics, not allow them to call the same people over and over (one reason the numbers above may seem 'stagnant' to the reporter.... they are cheating by calling the same list again).
The only poll that counts is the poll in November! To quote Rush Limbaugh "We meet at dawn"
No time for slacking off.