[NeoCaveman]

I've concered a reverse 1994, the main reason I don't see it happening is the results from the special election in CA-50. I know special elections can be strange but this one was so typical that I don't think it is a fluke. The Left gets 44-46% of the vote all the time, like (Gore+Nader in 2000 and Kerry in 2004. Busby, the Dem got 45.5%. If the culture of corruption worked anywhere it would be in CA-50 where the former congressman is behind bars.

As for the war in Iraq, apparently Republicans think it works for them - see the recent House and Senate votes. It's probably a lot like Nixon and 'Nam, a decent percentage of the sour people are probably upset that we ain't blowing enough stuff up. Most Americans, except the granola munching Left, hate losing more than they hate war.

Based on the CA-50 results among other things, I've rejected 1994 as a template and moved on to 1998 as my template.

Plus the Dems have offered no alternative. I did an experiment on a middle of the road voter, I said Speaker Nancy Pelosi and it scared her half to death.

Lastly the gerrymandering of the House and the fact that that GOP only has to defend 15 seats in the Senate, to the Dims 18 are structural GOP advantages.

[MACVSOG68]

Plus the Dems have offered no alternative. I did an experiment on a middle of the road voter, I said Speaker Nancy Pelosi and it scared her half to death.

Scares me even more. Heck, I'd rather lose the Senate any day. But you make very valid points. I hope you are right. Take care.