Posted on 06/19/2006 7:43:42 AM PDT by Miztiki
Looks like Houston is a mess and things could get a whole lot worse.
How is your part of town looking? Roads? Flooding?
We're in Pearland near where 1128 and 518 (Broadway) intersect. Our yard has a small amount of standing water but all looks well for now.
This system is moving maddeningly slowly. The center of the low is clearly in NE Harris county, but it's moving west at maybe a couple of miles per hour.
Beaumont, and even Lousiana, has been getting the heavist rain since noon, except for the Texas coastal communities like Freeport and Galveston.
I think the worst is yet to come.
I have been looking at the Super Doppler Radar and it looks to me like it is giong away from us. I don't even see any rain in the Houston area now. Is this what it is supposed to do? I am at school right now, and hardly anyone is here. My instructor for my second class even left and I as well as 5 others are in another class for 2 hours.
I don't understand everything in this 8 pm NWS dicussion update, but I understand enough to be concerned.
AM VERY CONCERNED BY THE ONLY MODEL THAT SEEMS
TO HAVE GRASPED (IE...FORECAST CONDITIONS AT 00Z) THE SITUATION.
GFS PROGGING A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN INFLOW THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. IT HAS CORRECTLY PREDICTED THIS PER HGX-VWP...PALESTINE PROFILER...AND LA PORTE PROFILERS. BY 06Z THE GFS PROGGING 850MB SSW FLOW ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF 25 KNOTS INCREASING TO A WHOPPING 45-50 KNOTS OVER LAKE LIVINGSTON- CROCKETT REGION! COMBINED WITH THE CONTINUED VERY SLOW
WESTWARD DRIFT OF THE LOW- MID- LEVEL CIRCULATION WE COULD SET THE STAGE FOR MUCH MORE RAIN.
THESE SHOULD PRODUCE SOME EXTREMELY EFFICIENT PRECIP- INTENSE RAIN RATES...3-5" PER HOUR RATES. FROM BRAZORIA/GALVESTON COAST NORTH ACROSS HARRIS AND INTO MONTGOMERY COUNTIES.
WILL UPDATE TO RAISE POPS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...AND WILL UPDATE THE FLOOD WATCH SHORTLY AS WELL. CURRENT THINKING STILL IN LINE WITH THE PREVIOUS ISOLATED 5 TO 10 INCH AMOUNTS...
The GFS model is a good one. It was pretty accurate with TS Alberto and it was pretty good most of last year.
You can only judge these things for sure in hindsight, but it's gotten the attention of the NWS, and now of me.
There's still plenty of rain falling in the Houston area.
http://tinyurl.com/prpd7
But it's certainly not creating flooding conditions at the moment. The huge mass of heavy rain is slightly offshore and it's continued in a frenzy all day.
The concern is that as the low moves west, that band will naturally come onshore. On top of me. Or perhaps you.
That rain is falling at more than an inch per hour. Some estimates are up to four inches.
I dunno. Maybe it will all die out. But we have to be prepared for the possibility that it won't.
I was just looking at the radar and thought, "I guess it's all over." That's what I get for thinking!
Dang! That radar is way different than the one that Channel 13 is showing. How confusing!!!
I don't know what the radar source for Channel 13 is. In my experience, it's a dish mounted on a tricycle. It only catches major stuff that everyone already can see with their own eyes.
Started fixing my dinner over 2-1/2 hours ago and am just now sitting down to eat it - and it's just a baked potato. Too many interruptions!
Pray for me, that I am not the next victim of Katrina, especially on Juneteenth.
Ummm. I have to get myself updated on the weather to see what I think is going to happen. I'm a bit rattled.
Yes
BWHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!! That is a good one!! LOLOL A dish mounted on a tricycle!!! Hahahahaha!!!!!
Not anymore. Supposedly just once. All forgave him (except me, evidently), supported him, eventually re-hired him. Guess he's not on the lists, so long ago.
I've forgotten - that was part of the excuse, too, right?
...we have a house for sale in Kingwood..were supposed to show it tomorrow to a couple from Virginia...they cancelled...of course, we are high and dry here..but..
Don't get rattled over this storm. I don't think we got anyone killed today in it, and there's no reason for anyone to get hurt tomorrow.
There's no wind for one thing. At most it's a deluge that won't stop and people need to try to protect their property.
The people who get hurt are the ones who try to drive where they shouldn't or play with storm drains.
Nobody wants a foot of water in their house, but that's going to be the exception. And even that won't kill you.
Oh, so what was it, he was accused but the evidence never came up or something? Man, that stinks. If he didn't do anything and be accused of it, or if he DID do something and got away with it. Dang!!!
Nobody I knew had ever suspected the guy was gay!
yup... apparently there was allot of snow in Ed Brandon's forecasts :)
Should watch Fox (26), they have spent some money recently revamping their radar.
I am in the SW corner of Montgomery County and am showing less than an inch of rainfall here in the last 24 hours. My son lives near I-45 at West Rd and has had over 4 inches in the last 24 hours.
I've heard Billingsly is light in the loafers, too...
but I think it's just a rumor
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