Al qaeda reports news "before they happen", i.e. thing in the intel realm, and they are frequently right, but as a result of the nature of their info, not always, and sometimes we don't even find out they were right.
I think Debka puts more thought and info into their articles than the NYT, so why do people believe the NYT?
That's what happens when I start something and cut and paste -- I meant DEBKA reports news... etc., NOT Al Qaeda.