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10:17:32PM IST |
Best to Sell
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Best to Buy
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'HILLARY'S BIGGEST PROBLEM... SHE'S OLD NEWS' |
Clinton = 45.64 = $4.65
Warner = 20.722 = $2.07
Gore = 12.813 = $1.28
Edwards = 5.362 = $0.54
With Intrade/Tradesports, if your candidate wins (e.g. Hillary becomes President), you win $10.00 less your bet amount, i.e. $10.00 - $4.65 today = $5.35 (you can wager multiple contracts). If you lose, your wager expires at 0 ($0.00) the day after the election.
The numbers change every day, though this is a long-term wager so is stable for weeks and months at a time (Warner went through a "doubling" period last fall an has remained steady since then).
Then we have the slate of losers: Powell and Lieberman are not judged at all viable by the Intrade/Tradesports marketplace.
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10:17:32PM IST |
Best to Sell
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Best to Buy
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By the way, anyone can play around with the Tradesports numbers and charts here (without an account and without betting):
https://www.tradesports.com/aav2/trading/tradingHTML.jsp?evID=23190&eventSelect=23190&updateList=true&showExpired=false
Click on the names of nominees and another window will popup with interesting price charts going back more than a year, so you can see how each "candidate" has fared over time.
Over on the left menu, you can reach a similar chart for Republican candiates.
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