If the GOP loses the special in the 50th, the party is probably looking at a loss of 40 seats and the House. The Senate is less certain because so few Senators are running and the corrupt Congress has made it as hard as possible for incumbents to be dislodged from their "entitled" positions.
If they manage to squeak out the 50th they might only be looking at losing 20 seats.
It's ironic, but what's killing fundraising and the volunteer base is Bush's idea that criminal-alien amnesty has to be the top legislative priority, and general disaffection with Congressional corruption as evidenced by pork and Cunningham-Jefferson-Hastert-etc. That's why the Committee has to put in so much money, because the usual small local donors have dried up.
And the result of this is probably going to be the loss mostly of conservative seats... the very guys who fought against this madness.
I see it coming but can't very well change it. The party lords are petulantly demanding that the electorate stop expecting responsible government, get back in harness and keep pulling the beer wagon. Someone needs to spin Denny Hastert up on where the public is on "the divine right of kings." He's pathetically out of touch.
But that's what happens when you're tied up all day wrapping bribe money in tinfoil, or defending those who are.
d.o.l.
Criminal Number 18F
It's a possibility, but I see this election more akin to the Stephanie Herseth-Larry Deidrich race almost two years in South Dakota for obvious reasons.
"a loss of 40 seats"
Where on earth are you getting those stats .. please supply your source.
I suspect your source is wishful thinking.
{result of this is probably going to be the loss mostly of conservative seats... the very guys who fought against this madness.}
In a bad GOP year, the conservatives are usually the ones who take the hit. In 2006, it will interesting to do a body count of conservatives and RINOs taking the fall. If more conservatvies fall, the National Party will push Rudy Guiliani for President.