With regard to the latest poll from Ohio, this was conducted right after a hotly contested Republican primary (for Governor). This skewed results of the poll away from Republicans and toward Democrats. DeWine should soon regain his lead, and Blackwell should close to within single digits. Assuming the Republicans get their act together, continued good news in the economy, and the announcement of troop withdrawals from Iraq, DeWine should win easily and Blackwell should have a good chance of winning in November. Of course, under alternative scenarios, DeWine might lose and Blackwell lose badly. My only real point is that the recent polling in Ohio has been skewed by the contested Republican primary for Governor.
Thanks for your comments, I too think that DeWine will probably pull it out, but Ohio is tricky and DeWine has not made the base particularly happy. I hope upon reelection, he moves a bit to the right and remembers who elected him, and why they elected him.