I just revised my own ratings today, so here goes! Arizona seems to be our biggest disagreement.
Safe Democratic
California
Delaware
Florida
Hawaii
Massachusetts
New Mexico
New York
North Dakota
Vermont (I)*
Wisconsin
Likely Democratic
Connecticut
Nebraska
West Virginia
Lean Democratic
Maryland*
Michigan
Minnesota*
Montana (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
Washington
Toss Up
Missouri (R)
New Jersey (D)*
Ohio (R)
Lean Republican
Arizona
Rhode Island
Likely Republican
Tennessee*
Virginia
Safe Republican
Indiana
Maine
Mississippi
Nevada
Texas
Utah
Wyoming
Ohio won't be a tossup for the Senate seat.
I think our biggest recruiting missteps were in FL, NE and ND-- the GOP should have all those states with the right candidates...