[ClaireSolt]

The thing to try to watch is the black Republican candidates in the mid Atlantic states. Blackwell polls 50% in black communties in OH. Will this pull along neighboring state blacks to vote Republican too for the first time in a long time? It may produce a regional shift, but it will be going on under the radar. Maryland has already voted Steele statewide.

[HostileTerritory]

Blackwell polls 50% in black communties in OH.

Is that for governor? If so, I'd be very surprised, particularly since he's doing much worse than that among voters as a whole. I can imagine him getting a lot of votes for a low-profile office like Secretary of State but it's a different story at the top. If you have a link to the polls, please post.