[stockstrader]

You can put whatever spin you want on my assertion that RCP poll aggregration is incredibly accurate,,,,or believe whatever you like,,,,BUT,,,

the only CONCRETE PROOF of the accuracy of the polls (and my assertion),,,,is the 'snap shot' on election day. THAT IS FACT (no guesswork, or 'what ifs' there). Everything else is conjecture, speculation, pure guesswork--and is totally meaningless.

That 'snap shot' on election day VALIDATED with facts,,,not speculation (which is what you use),,,,that my assertion is correct.

Like it not, the polls collectively have proven to be astoundingly accurate. As a whole, they are RARELY outside the margin of error--and aggregated, they are the best, most incredibly accurate gauge around.

Historical facts support that assertion. Speculation supports yours. Have a nice day.

[Jameison]

"the only CONCRETE PROOF of the accuracy of the polls (and my assertion),,,,is the 'snap shot' on election day. THAT IS FACT (no guesswork, or 'what ifs' there). "

Again, we are not in November yet, and no one has any "snap shot" of elections day polls in November 2006 anywhere.
And the self-same RCP avearges you are talking about, had Hanoi John Kerry solidly ahead by this time in May 2004..Hanoi John ended up getting clobbered by President Bush in November 2004.
You are busy trying to claim that RCP averages in May are equivalent to RCP "snap shots" in November, which is simply incorrect.