Your "scenarios" are full of too much Fox News-type "Infotainment" items and ridiculous assumptions about what our administration can and won't do. Despite your use of acceptable buzzwords, you are off the mark on so many things it's hard to sort out and know where to start.
So I won't.
Inspite of all your talk, you are missing "key facts". ..the ones that provide the "glue" that holds the world picture together. You have the elements on your table. You just have'nt connected them.
Think.
Starters: The Dems are dead in the water.
Overconfidence is not a quality that we can afford to have at this point in the political 'game'. A positive outlook is fine, but don't make the mistake that the DemRats made in 2000, 2002 and 2004, of ASSuming they had it in the bag.
I don't put anything past the DemRats in their quest to regain power. The fake national guard memos, the fake torture scandal, the fake outting of Plame, the fake domestic spying scandal, trying to criminalize politics in their last ditch attempt to 'get Bush, Cheney and Rove'....all these DemRat ploys are childs-play compared to what they are probably plotting and planning.
"Starters: The Dems are dead in the water."