JD will NOT lose; the GOP here have him ahead. State party people have talked to our group, and are not at all worried about JD.
In 04 hayworth got percent and ran against a terrible opponent with no funding. His opponent got 40 percent. Dems will put this in a top tier race and fund it heavily.
In 04 bush's approval rating was 20 points higher and you had liberal john kerry on the ticket.
In 06 hayworth will have bush around his neck at 30 percent approval with a very popular well funded mayor. There will be no kerry on the ballot.
In 04 the base showed up and all you hear is how the base is staying home this election. The dem fraud governor will also have coatails by winning by 25 plus points on the top of the ticket. Almost like how bush helped out thune in south dakota in 04.
I can't imagine him losing... or Kyl, either. I hate the ad Pederson has been running against Kyl, but I haven't seen any against JD, guess it's because he's not in our district.