And here are the Dem-held House seats.
Toss Up
1 (IL-08) Bean
2 (GA-08) Marshall
Lean Democratic
3 (WV-01) Mollohan
4 (OH-06) Strickland*
5 (TX-17) Edwards
6 (LA-03) Melancon
7 (IA-03) Boswell
Likely Democratic
8 (VT-AL) Sanders (I)*
9 (SC-05) Spratt
10 (GA-12) Barrow
11 (IL-17) Evans*
12 (CO-03) Salazar
13 (WA-02) Larsen
14 (OH-13) Brown*
15 (UT-02) Matheson
16 (KS-03) Moore
Watch List
17 (HI-02) Case*
18 (ND-AL) Pomeroy
19 (OR-05) Hooley
20 (MD-03) Cardin*
21 (MN-08) Oberstar
22 (NY-27) Higgins
I don't see any democratic incuments on the house or senate side losing. There is not an anti incumbent mood there is an anti gop mood. Thank the media in large part for that. If the media reported that the dems are blocking a bill to go after sexual predators just so bush doesn't look good the dems would be in far less favor with the public.
I don't see any seats that are democrat right now on either side switching from dems and that includes the dems that are retiring.
This shows that the country has moved far left. After 9/11 the country voted for the gop. With 9/11 in the distant past this country is going back to the days they gave clinton a double digit win in 96.
Bean and marshall will both win easy victories. I've seen polls with marshall up by 35 percent. Edwards and strickland's open seat will go heavily for the dems. I have seen a poll with Melancon up by 40 percent. Not only will dems not lose any seat they have now I don't see a competive race in any of the seats. This will be the first time in history that the a party doesn't lose a seat.
These predictions of the house being up in the air are wrong.
This is going to be a landslide reid and pelosi win. The media will be tripping over themselves praising dean. Gop has 232 seats in the house they will wind up with less than 200. It will be a massacre.
When 31 percent of conservatives want pelosi as speaker the election is as ugly as it can get. Dems are consistently 15 points up in matchups. That is unheard of and can't be dismissed with typical polls.
Another prediction is reps like tancredo will be caught up in the anti gop wave and be voted out of office.
Gop is in an impossible position. Dems filibuster and then blame the gop saying they are the party in power and nothing is getting done.