If Guiliani doesn't get more serious than what he is doing now he'll never have a chance. McLame already is hiring political people in the first primary states which takes time. Rudy doesn't have an organization, he can't win without one.
My friends in NH tell me that McCain is dead meat up there.
Just because he won there in 2000 doesn't mean he can again.
He's got one key guy in Iowa, but the vast majority of the activists can't stand him.