A lot of people have been talking about 2008 since Nov 2004. I'm much more concerned that Allen and other conservatives win this November.
But I will say that if what Allen is doing is not playing particularly well in New York, then I'd say he's in a strong position to win an electoral college majority.
Allen is not doing particularly well across the U.S in every poll as a potential presidential candidate. He's poling in the single digits. I'm not talking about New York at all. I don't expect any Republican to win in New York - I've totally given up on my state and I agree with you totally about New York.