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Maryland Senate: Steele (R) Trails Cardin and Mfume
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 25 April 2006

Posted on 04/25/2006 11:07:08 AM PDT by Alter Kaker

April 25, 2006--Democratic Congressman Ben Cardin is maintaining a substantial lead over Lt. Governor Michael Steele in the race to succeed retiring Democratic Senator Paul Sarbanes.

Cardin now leads 45% to 35%, a slight decline from our previous poll. Cardin's lead has been shaved only by increased voter uncertainty; Steele's support is still at 35%.

Former NAACP President Kweisi Mfume (D), who has often been neck-and-neck with Steele in our surveys, is now slightly ahead, leading Steele 42% to 38%.

The Senate contest echoes the race for Maryland Governor, where the incumbent Republican Bob Ehrlich trails two Democrats when voters consider prospective match-ups.

Nationwide, Republicans have gained a bit politically, at least in the short term, from the debate over immigration policy. But the President's approval rating is still in the doldrums, especially in Maryland.

Just 36% of the state's likely voters approve of how the President is doing his job; 64% disapprove. Fifty percent (50%) of all voters Strongly Disapprove.

The situation in Iraq is a major contributor, with 49% of Americans now saying that our mission there will eventually be judged a failure...only a few percentage points lower than the high of 52% on that question we recorded last month.

In addition to the drab political outlook for Republicans nationally, Lt. Governor Steele's campaign has also been afflicted by gaffes and contention among his staff, resulting in two high-profile departures that received wide publicity in February.

See our report on the Maryland Governor's race for details on how Marylanders are answering questions about taxes and immigration.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdgeTM Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Maryland
KEYWORDS: cardin; maryland; mfume; senate; steele
Arggh.
1 posted on 04/25/2006 11:07:11 AM PDT by Alter Kaker
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To: Alter Kaker

Quote: "The situation in Iraq is a major contributor, with 49% of Americans now saying that our mission there will eventually be judged a failure...only a few percentage points lower than the high of 52% on that question we recorded last month."

Until it succeeds in which case 60% of Americans will have known it would be all along. . . .


2 posted on 04/25/2006 11:10:32 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Alter Kaker

The only thing that can stop Steele is the new election pro-fraud laws the Dems created last month.


3 posted on 04/25/2006 11:13:42 AM PDT by Vision ("There are no limits to growth because there are no limits of human intelligence" Ronald Reagan)
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To: Alter Kaker

Maryland contains many people who love to hold out their hands for freebies from the state government(and county governments as well). Voters there are so used to slurping at the public trough that it will be difficult for Mr. Steele to win this race.

I think he's a good troop and a helluva guy, and I wish him well.


4 posted on 04/25/2006 11:15:35 AM PDT by RexBeach ("There is no substitute for victory." -Douglas MacArthur)
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To: Alter Kaker
The situation in Iraq is a major contributor, with 49% of Americans now saying that our mission there will eventually be judged a failure.

If you were to press those same people a little further and ask them why they feel Iraq will be a failure, most of them would answer: "Uh, I don't know." or "Gee, you got me there!", or "That's what I keep hearing in the news!".
5 posted on 04/25/2006 11:19:14 AM PDT by adorno
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To: Alter Kaker

anyone know the pa numbers hes released?


6 posted on 04/25/2006 11:48:41 AM PDT by philsfan24
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To: FlipWilson

"Until it succeeds"

Which 90% of Americans will never know about since the media will totally ignore the story. They'll find some excuse to go back to endless high gas prices or Katrina coverage.


7 posted on 04/25/2006 11:54:40 AM PDT by MikeA (Not voting in November because you're pouting is a vote for Democratic Congressional control)
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To: Alter Kaker

Don't panic. It's early. Better Steele make his missteps now than later in the campaign. People won't start paying attention until after Labor Day. A lot can change between now and then. And Steele only needs to take a somewhat larger percentage of the African American vote in Maryland than a Republican candidate normally would and he could well win it.


8 posted on 04/25/2006 11:56:31 AM PDT by MikeA (Not voting in November because you're pouting is a vote for Democratic Congressional control)
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To: FlipWilson

To repeat. When one only hears bad news.


9 posted on 04/25/2006 11:58:28 AM PDT by RobbyS ( CHIRHO)
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To: Alter Kaker
"Arggh"

Agggh, is right! The spineless pubs are going to get a severe whipping in November....UGHHHHHHHH! WAKE THE HELL UP...DANG IT!!

10 posted on 04/25/2006 12:40:07 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Alter Kaker

Voters are actually smarter than some here at FR think. They are able to vote for a Republican for Governor/LG because of some state issue, but understand that their views on federal issues are distinctly liberal and vote for liberals on the exact same ballot. Steele never had a prayer in Maryland.


11 posted on 04/25/2006 12:43:35 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: MikeA

I'm surprised that Steele is not taking it more on the chin from freepers now that he has called for further study on the racial disparity on the application of the death penalty. He was quoted earlier this month saying "The racial component is a genuine, legitimate concern. That's something that needs to be addressed."


12 posted on 04/25/2006 12:56:07 PM PDT by dmz
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To: Alter Kaker

Ben Cardin is not well known among the voters of Maryland. He is a bland, do-nothing Congressman who represents a Baltimore consituency that would elect a ham sandwich if it was a Democrat. His support is largely among the party cadre and the professional pols. That said, he will be a formidable candidate if he wins because Maryland is a Democrat majority state.


13 posted on 04/25/2006 1:00:21 PM PDT by blau993 (a/k/a IPW 993)
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To: Alter Kaker

I can't believe even the RAT/lib/socialist voters of terrepin-land would want Queesy My-Foo-May as their senator.


14 posted on 04/25/2006 1:03:53 PM PDT by Polyxene (For where God built a church, there the Devil would also build a chapel - Martin Luther)
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To: dmz

called for further study on the racial disparity on the application of the death penalty. He was quoted earlier this month saying "The racial component is a genuine, legitimate concern. That's something that needs to be addressed."




I can't speak for others, but I look at this kind of thing as an election year sop to black voters to hopefully reel some of them in. Asking for a study of something seems harmless enough, and doesn't really imply a position one way or another. I realize in deep blue states like Maryland Republican candidates have to make some concessions to have any hope of winning. If this is the worst Steele has to do, then he's done better than most.


15 posted on 04/25/2006 1:05:11 PM PDT by MikeA (Not voting in November because you're pouting is a vote for Democratic Congressional control)
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