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To: grandpa jones

Quake prediction has been a graveyard of ideas.

Everything that looks promising ends up flat on its face.

The USGS has largely abandoned the whole idea of actual quake forecasts for specific times for hazard assessment.

I'm generally on the side of the debate that believes there will NEVER be actual useful specific warnings for earthquakes.


7 posted on 04/19/2006 8:09:59 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist

Human flight has been a graveyard of ideas.

Everything that looks promising ends up flat on its face.

I'm generally on the side of the debate that believes there will NEVER be actual useful means of flying for humans.




You sound like you stepped right out of the 80's. The 1880's.


10 posted on 04/19/2006 8:15:23 PM PDT by MacDorcha (In Theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is.)
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To: Strategerist

I guess you don't like Stan Deyo either--even though he successfully predicted the Sumatran Tsunami and many since then.

He has more false positives than he probably would wish. But he seems to be on to something about a great temperature differential on opposing sides of a big plate fault being predictive of a significantly increased likelihood of a big quake within several days of such.

http://standeyo.com/Reports/06_EQ.warning/EQ.warning.html


31 posted on 04/19/2006 9:21:43 PM PDT by Quix (TRY JESUS. If you don't like Him, the devil will always take you back.-- Bible Belt Bumper Sticker)
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