My prediction:
Nagin 34%
Landrieu 24%
Forman 23%
Couhig 11%
All others: 8%
In the runoff, Nagin will get 52%.
Yeah, thats a pretty good prediction. Even though I think Landrieu could pull out a victory there. I think the Party Machine and money would come behind Mitch. He is a possible contender for bigger things in the future so I think they might invest in him.
If Nagin gets 34% of the vote in the primary, he will get 60% in the runoff.
I am thinking it will be:
Nagin 26%
Landrieu 20%
Forman 17%
Couhig 15%
I voted for Couhig already during the early voting.