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To: AdamSelene235
However, your actual, realistic odds of ever having a problem with a mountain lion in Colorado are somewhere on the order of one in a billion.

B. The fact that mountain lion exposure is a cumulative risk i.e. the more time you spend in lion country the higher the probability.

This reason is precisely why I consider the odds are so low for an individual tourist family on a single trip to the mountains. The population of Colorado is about three million or so. Plus there are a million tourists per year. Since most residents go outside several times a year, and tourists are going to the very places that are mountain lion habitat, this would all probably add up to hundreds of millions of opportunities for a mountain lion attack per year. Yet I can only think of about six or seven actual attacks in the last ten years or so.

No I have not calculated the odds scientifically, but if someone wants to be afraid of something while in the Colorado mountains, here is a list of much more likely incidents:

Car Accidents
Inexperienced climbers falling from rocks
Hypothermia
Dehydration
Lightning

If a person wants to insist on being afraid of wild animals, be afraid of a deer on the road at night.

54 posted on 04/16/2006 9:56:12 AM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: Vince Ferrer
No I have not calculated the odds scientifically,

Then you should not falsify a number for the sake of enhancing the authority of your argument.

If a person wants to insist on being afraid of wild animals

This has little to do with fear but rather preparation. Just as you should have some polypro to deal with hypothermia you should also take precautions against predatory critters human and otherwise. Real Fear is what you experience when you are lacking in preparedness.

59 posted on 04/16/2006 10:30:36 AM PDT by AdamSelene235 (Truth has become so rare and precious she is always attended to by a bodyguard of lies.)
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