Don't disagree with you on that point, but I do on the notion that the only way this goes is full nuclear exchange.
Understand:
Thing here is we are in a "Stalingrad" type of a situation.
Have several hundred thousand troops tied down in Iraq.
Lots of Naval assets in the Persian Gulf, would be trapped if Iran seals off the Hormuz straits.
Ship traffic thru the Hormuz straits is our main supply line to support the Iraq war.
Stateside, open borders, no telling what the hell Iran has planted here courtesy or our President "Gringo de Mexico Boosh"
My thinking is this:
They will hit us big time stateside with ABC weapons.
Will hit naval assets in the Persian Gulf
Mine the straits of Hormuz
Launch a pincer move to cut off our forces in Iraq.
Your thoughts and comments are welcome.