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I surprised how many people actually believed him. Surely, it's highly classified and he's not going to tell his enemy exactly where he is in the development of nuclear weapons. Either they achieved enrichment a long time ago and are trying to hide from us how far along they really are, or they're bluffing and are nowhere close. imo

I've been wondering along a similar line, too, ever since the celebration with dancers and enriched uranium as part of the act.

Saddam was a lot of bluff. On the other hand, maybe Ahmadinejad is doing a double-back bluff...counting on us thinking he's bluffing when he's really got the goods.

Maybe he's got what he says but maybe he sees the room closing in on him and he's got nothing.

I don't think they'd bluff about being almost ready to build a bomb. If they were going to bluff they'd either say they had no weapons program or that they'd already built a bomb and its attached to a missile that can be aimed anywhere from Rome to an Us army base in Iraq.

Bluffing about almost being there is just going to give us more reason to attack sooner.

Of course, if I were him, I'd be a raging lunatic. So I don't know how good this line of reasoning is, but . . .

If I were him, and I were working on developing nukes, I'd want to stay the American's hand as long as possible. So, since there wouldn't be much I could do to convince them that I wasn't working on a bomb, I'd try to trick them into thinking that I wasn't nearly as far along as I actually was.

I believe that there's a definite non-zero risk here that he began enriching uranium and completed his 4,000 centrifuge machines a long time ago, and is busy producing bombs right now as fast as he can.

But the Americans may have bought the big lie and believed that he only has a measly 164 centrifuges. So they won't attack just yet, giving him another few weeks or months to build even more bombs.

I just don't see why we're willing to take that risk. We can't take that risk. Good God... The lives that are at stake! We should attack. No fooling, we should attack right now. imho