I look forward to Rudy stepping into the race.
We should welcome him with open arms, because when he loses the nomination he will stand on the podium and give his ringing endorsement of the GOP candidate and bring all the other RINOs with him.
Bush could not have won without the RINO vote.
So that's why I don't mind Rudy running for president. If he doesn't throw a lot of mud in the primaries, he will be a good asset for us in the general election.
Giuliani and for that matter McCain and Romney will draw in moderates, but repel conservatives. You will get an outcome similar to what the elder Bush experienced in 1992 and Dole in 1996. Lack of conservative enthusiasm is deadly for a GOP candidate. The better showing Bush had in 2004 (52%) vs. 2000 (48%) was due to his cultivation of evangelical Christians. Giuliani and Romney may be able to pick up New Jersey, Connecticut, Delaware, and Pennsylvania, with outside shots for their respective home states. However, they would likely lose Ohio, Arkansas, Missouri, West Virginia, Kentucky, Colorado, and even Virginia and Florida, all states where the evangelical vote tips the scales. Throw in a strong third party candidate like Judge Roy Moore of Alabama, and the entire South and maybe the Rockies and Plains states are no longer securely Republican.
To win, the GOP must have an unqualified, strong conservative at the head of the ticket in 2008.