Posted on 03/20/2006 5:10:15 PM PST by blam
Weather Experts Predict Busy Storm Season
Tuesday March 21, 2006 12:46 AM
NEW YORK (AP) - The 2006 hurricane season will be more active than normal but not as busy as 2005, and the Northeast will be hit by a major hurricane within five years, a private forecaster predicted Monday.
Experts at AccuWeather, based in State College, Pa., predicted this year's hurricane season won't quite top last year's record number of named storms and 14 hurricanes.
A normal season consists of 11 named storms, with five or six hurricanes, said Ken Reeves, senior meteorologist and director of the company's forecast operations. The season runs from May 15 to Nov. 30.
The National Weather Service counted 27 named storms last year.
The AccuWeather meteorologists also stressed that the Northeast is overdue for a ``powerful hurricane.'' Weather cycles and above-normal ocean temperatures make it a question of when, not if, they said.
The meteorologists likened current weather cycles and ocean temperatures to those in the 1930s, '40s and '50s, particularly the pattern that led to a 1938 hurricane that struck Providence, R.I., and killed 600 people.
(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...
I can't wait until Joe Bastardi gets onto Fox News and starts screaming about this and that, only to be proven wrong again and again :)
he's kinda like a clean-shaven Billy Mays on the OxyClean commercials :)
Entertaining at first, but annoying.
You have the roof fixed?
Actually, he is from NE and usually quite accurate in predicting our weather patterns as wild as they are. Just installed my new Sentry Pro generator anyway!! Not because of Joe, but the Cape power companies make lame look like something to aspire to! We can't cut any trees due to the environMENTALists so the transformers get whacked by trees in every high wind1
It's a wonderful life in the Gay State!
It'll be Bush's fault.
joe bastardi doesnt believe these hurricanes are caused by global warming
LOL
well let's just say that he tends to put too much weight into one thing or the other to make his mark. I don't know if I'd call that accuracy though.
I would tend to think, and I'm no meteorologist, that leaving some wiggle room for what may happen would be appropriate because of the number of variables involved.
I thought it was Rove's Weather machine :)
Or was that the Russian mafia?
On basically every single serious weather board on the net, Bastardi is regarded as a complete and utter joke; he's mostly discussed to laugh at him.
The number of houses around this area has probably tripled or more in the last 30 years.
It seem that a great many have been built high up on a hill for a view or in the middle of a woodlot.
If a real severe one comes this far inland it will do damage that no one is even considering.
I would hate to guess if my old (1800s) house at this point would stand a hurricane.
Bastardi was hyping the East Coast tropical threat LAST year, and of course busted horribly.
And hurricanes aren't earthquakes; there's no such thing as "overdue."
The chance of a given location being hit doesn't keep going up every year it doesn't get hit.
Whether storms enter the Gulf or go up the East coast is based on large scale patterns.....and those patterns can persist for multiple, even hundreds of years in the large scale.
All ready to go, stocks replenished, etc.
I saw a memorandum about three months ago predicting 22 to 23 storms this year. Wanna buy a Louisiana refinery ?
Be that as it may, he was our local radio guy for years and compared to these other overpaid doofuses (what other kind of person would you expext to find in New England?)
He has been fairly right on the money. Perhaps the Gay State is his "specialty"!
By the way Mike, thank you for your service and your inspiring posts! God Bless you
Just reflecting on what is likely to happen someday,God only knows when.
Dr. Gray at U of Colorado is currently predicting 17 named storms, 9 of these to be hurricanes for 2006.
..."the Northeast is overdue for a ``powerful hurricane.''
That scare is worth an immediate $0.25/gallon. Let's see...snow in the Mid-Atlantic....add another $0.15.
Ain't it grand!
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