i won't get into contrarian theory but this is an indication that the president is about get a lot more popular, or always has been, than current polls suggest.
GWB did hurt himself. Good day by day poll is the Rasmussen poll. GWB was bouncing between 44 to 50 percent. When the MSM tried to create scandals, GWB would dip to 44, but the Muslim riots in France and over the cartoons would boost his polls up to 50 percent. The camel that broke GWB back was the Dubai port deal and talking about how good outsourcing jobs when he visited India and advocating for temporary worker status for illegal immigrants. GWB doesn't realize job security and homeland security is driving public concerns. His poll numbers never recovered and has dipped down to 40 percent. He should not be this low with a good economy and employment rate.