You guys are tracking a lot of trees, but y'all have a tendency to under-report the forest.
The party in power tends to lose seats. Will the GOP lose too many to hold power? The trees are supposed to define that particular forest. Can y'all try to define forest impact of each speculation for each tree?
Bush's current approval rating is 36% in the Gallup Poll (with 60% disapproval). Clinton's approval rating was 46% in the Gallup Poll on Election Day 1994 (with 46% disapproval). That's all that need be said about the forest. The rest is much sound and fury, signifying nothing.
The GOP will lose 8 to 12. Not bad by historical standards, but not good given the existing numbers.