Posted on 03/16/2006 2:30:39 PM PST by oklahoma guard
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - In one of his more famous moments of talking Texas, President Bush described Australian leader John Howard as his deputy sheriff in the war on terror. But as US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice heads into East Asia security talks here, she's finding there's another sheriff in these parts.
Chinese officials are working closely with Canberra to hammer out an agreement that would recognize China as an open market and bring billions of dollars of business to resource-rich Australia. And Australia is doing everything it can to accentuate China's positives. Last year, the country's former defense minister, Robert Hill, went so far as to describe the communist country as a kind of democracy.
China's economic lure has dampened Australian enthusiasm for US efforts to sound the alarm on Beijing's military spending - just upped another 14 percent. The topic is expected to be the focus of Saturday's trilateral security talks between the US, Japan, and Australia in Sydney.
As Australia's economy gravitates more toward integration with Asia, the once lock-step foreign policies of Washington and Canberra are beginning to march to different drum beats.
"Australia is a medium-sized country which has political, strategic, as well as trade interests with China, and it is in its interest not to get caught in a 'bun fight' between the two big powers," says Alan Dupont, a China expert at the Lowy Institute in Sydney.
Two big trading partners Both countries are major trading partners for Australia, allowing the antipodean continent to avoid putting all its marbles in one market. China's importance to Australia has grown rapidly in recent years by keeping the cost of manufactured goods low and driving up prices for commodities needed to feed its factories.
Australia happens to sit on many of the key resources China needs, including, for instance, 30 percent of the world's known uranium reserves. Negotiations between the two countries are under way for the sale of uranium for Chinese civilian energy.
Differences over China could be seen Thursday, the first day of Ms. Rice's first visit here - twice cancelled in recent months due to more pressing engagements. After private talks with her counterpart Alexander Downer, Rice reiterated Washington's unease over China at a press conference. "We have concerns about the Chinese military buildup. We told the Chinese that they need to be transparent," she said.
But Mr. Downer was quick to point out that Australia has its own China policy, different from the US. "We feel comfortable with where the United States is in terms of its relationship with China. Our relationship has its own dynamics," he said.
Earlier, Downer told Sky News, "I think a policy of containment of China would be a very big mistake."
These statements are seen to be an effort to placate Beijing, which is watching developments in the region with some suspicion.
One reason for that wariness was the elevation of these security talks from a junior level to a ministerial level, says Mr. Dupont. Beijing, he says, is concerned about the creation of a new kind of alliance aimed solely at keeping the Chinese in check.
US, Japan pressure on Oz Some analysts here believe that it was a combination of efforts by the US and Japan, which has constant friction with Beijing over Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's repeated visits to Yasukuni war shrine, that convinced Australia to raise the trilateral meeting to a ministerial level.
By taking a strong but obviously more positive attitude towards China, Prime Minister Howard, is coming across less as the willing deputy of American foreign policy, and more as an independent strategic planner in the Asian region.
"This is a very significant moment, when both Japan and the US, our most important trading partners, are coming here, specifically with the intention of changing our views on China," says Hugh White, professor of strategic affairs at the Australian National University in Canberra. "To be fair to Howard, his administration appears to be coming across rather robustly in favor of China - which of course is in our interest to do so."
Pursuing that interest marks an important moment in relations with America, he adds.
"This is the single largest divergence in perception we have had with the US ever since we became allies - while me might see the dangers of the growing power of China somewhere far in the distance, the US appears see it as a more immediate threat," says Mr. White.
Australian objections to America's tone While Alan Dupont agrees that there is a case for discussing China as a potential threat in the future, he objects to the "hectoring and didactic tone that Washington takes" on the subject.
"The fact that Ms. Rice chose to very publicly make it an issue, even before she landed in Australia, made sure that the trilateral talks will have a dissonance even before they have begun," he says.
Interesting to see this begin to be noted.
"Last year, the country's former defense minister, Robert Hill, went so far as to describe the communist country as a kind of democracy."
This guy must be a left-wing liberal.
No. Same Party as Howard. He was Defense Minister under Howard from 2001 - 2006.
You will note that the Australians loudly declared that they wont be selling Uranium to India, right after president Bush left India.
Obviously, they didnt want their masters in beijing getting all upset at em.
Let's not panic. The Aussies have been good friends in general. We just got to show them that the alluring Chinese economic plum is poisoned.
You will note that the Australians loudly declared that they wont be selling Uranium to India, right after president Bush left India.
Obviously, they didnt want their masters in beijing getting all upset at em.
Funyy that the 2 largest economies in the world(US and Japan) know whats going on. Australia is approaching this with a naive perspective because of communist dollars. Maybe we shouldnt sell the F-35 or our stealth tech to the aussies until we know they are on the side of democracies.
Really? wouldn't it be good for Australia though? I hear Australia has loads of high-grade uranium.
If they only care about doing business, I don't understand why they don't want some extra business. They are willing to sell to China....
Australia nears uranium deal with China
March 15, 2006 (Sydney Morning Herald)
The Australian government says it is close to signing an agreement to supply uranium to China.
Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane said Australia could soon export uranium to China.
"We are close to concluding agreements with China, I suspect," Mr Macfarlane told reporters in Perth.
Officials from China and Australia met two weeks ago in Beijing for the latest round of negotiations to set in place a framework to allow Australia to sell some of its vast stores of uranium to the Chinese.
Mr Macfarlane said Western Australia stood to lose billions of dollars if it did not change its anti-uranium stance.
"The opportunity is there for WA to share in the expansion of uranium mining industry," he said.
"It would be reasonable also to expect a diversity of supply would be sought and the Chinese buyers would be looking at an opportunity to source uranium out of Western Australia."
The WA government has decided not to reconsider uranium mining in the state for at least the next three years.
"I think that is a classic missed opportunity," Mr Macfarlane said.
If Australia isn't careful, China could turn it into its Canada.
Au contraire... it could turn into Chinas canada.
"Last year, the country's former defense minister, Robert Hill, went so far as to describe the communist country as a kind of democracy."
Yes, it is true. The constitution of the PRC says that its system of government is a "democratic dictatorship."
From the constitution of the People's Republic of China:
"CHAPTER I. GENERAL PRINCIPLES The PRC is a socialist state under the people's democratic dictatorship led by the working class and based on the alliance of workers and peasants."
What the hell?
Historically this is nothing new. Remember Australia is a large country with a small population, thus despite its size it is a minor power. During World War II they had to decide if Britain or the emerging US would be her protector. By the end of World War II she chose the US because the US was present in Asia, while her traditional protector Britain was withdrawing from Asia. Australia knows that she one day in the future must chose between the US or an emerging China. Our presence in Asia will influence Australia decision.
I would think that the threats of bejing on taking Australian land would have some sort of influence, here.
LOL that's what i mean
Democratic People's Republic of Korea.
Guess what country that is?
Agreed. But I heard something about the US not sending in a replacement ambassador for 13 months and that Rice cancelled her trip two times before this one? That must have pissed the Australians off.
Oh hahaha my bad.. not enough sleep here!
And the year before that, Hill went so far as to describe syphilis as a kind of health benefit.
BTTT!
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