2) Given the failure to produce overwhelming evidence of WMDs in Iraq (I think the evidence is conclusive, but the "Average Joe" probably doesn't), we are NOT going to war with Iran short of a clear-cut, deliberate Iranian attack on the U.S. homeland, and that isn't going to happen. They would fire a missile at the Jews first, but no Mullah is that stupid as to attack us.
3) Militarily, unless we pull all our people out of Germany and Korea, we wouldn't have the military power to invade (much less hold) Iran and Iraq at this point.
This is exactly why Bush has not pushed this yet. You are NOT going to make a sufficient case to the American public (no matter how reasonable strategically) to invade Iran without a direct attack.
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The Iranian people won't fight to save the regime.
The regular army won't fight to save the regime.
The rich mullahs in gov't will flee.
The regime will begin to crumble as soon as they realize that the U.S. means business and is coming in after them.
The political reality is, while we wait, people are being killed and the American public is getting fed up. The public will force the President to leave Iraq. That's the reality of waiting.
I think you're wrong about not being able to make a sufficient case to the American people. The Iranian regime has threatened us sufficiently enough to make the case that their threats are an act war against us.