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To: EternalHope

If one reads what all the "experts" have to say, they seem to agree that there's a bit more time than a few weeks. Things aren't that imminent.
As for Israel, there has been mention that they are helping Reza Pahlavi in his support and efforts to unify the opposition in Iran.

I wish everyone had gotten this together yrs ago.


13 posted on 03/05/2006 1:22:18 PM PST by nuconvert ([there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: nuconvert

The "experts" should not say publicly how much time they think there really is. To do so would be to let the Iranian leadership know how much we know, and to throw away the potential for strategic surprise. It is far better to keep the enemy guessing.

(Sadly, even though it is unwise, we might be forced to show our hand in advance for political reasons.)

The Iranians have publicly stated they will be ready to "join the club" by April 8, 2006. They did not specify what they meant by that, but it is possible to guess. It is also possible that this claim is mere bluster.

I fervently hope we have accurate intel, and that we do indeed have a substantial amount of time left. A miscalculation in this area would be catastrosphic.

Although they may be ignorant in many ways, I doubt the Iranian leadership is stupid. They are not bluffing in this game of high stakes poker. They hold a number of high cards, and undoubtedly have a plan to use them.

It is easy to see how civil war in Iraq, coupled with disruption in the world's oil supply, could work to Iran's advantage when they are ready to make their next move.

Could the bombing of a top Sunni Mosque (clearly designed to spark civil war in Iraq), coupled with a major attempt on a key oil facility in Saudi Arabia, have been part of a planned prelude to Iran's next move?

If so, then the time is short indeed.


14 posted on 03/05/2006 2:06:49 PM PST by EternalHope (Boycott everything French forever. Including their vassal nations.)
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