It is YOU, who are shorting the dollar, when the dollar is strong and the Euro isn't; not I.
Methinks that your projection complex is the least of your worries. ;^)
Well once again you have assumed incorrectly havn't you...
I am long the dollar against the YEN and Sterling...right now...need a quote?
As to the EUR I think its a near term long bounce and then a resumption of its decline into mid-later summer...perhaps 1.15-1.16...then the dollar will resume its decline...across most of the currencies...
So...once again...your assumptions are wrong...and you have made an A$$ of yourself...
The DOW is NOT the US equity markets. It is 30 big caps and it changes. Shorting the DOW has a remix risks. If you are shorting the US equities the DOW is a lousey proxy.