[LS]

Instead of showing you the races, I'll give you my record: in 2004, I missed calling only ONE "close" senate race, the Salizar/Coors race in CO. I correctly called the MN seat, the MO seat, and the SD seat. In 2002, I missed only ONE close race, Thune's race in SD (by 500 votes). I was off on Bush's EC numbers by one state, PA.

In short, my record, so far, of political predictions for the senate has been much, much better than that of the "experts," especially Larry Sabato.

GOP will win MN, lose PA, win MD or NJ or FL, possibly also win NE, for a net of one.

[mdwakeup]

OK, fair enough. GOP has no chance in MD, FL, or NE -- you can put a fork in those. They just haven't fielded credible candidates. MD was never in play. FL and NE could have been if the Repubs had been able to attract decent candidates, but for whatever reason they didn't. NJ is a possibility, but we'd be getting another Chafee/Snowe/Collins. MN looks like a true toss-up, and they could hardly do worse than the 2 they have there now!