Granted we don't know if Wilson will run as a write in, in the primary. That I suspect is the big joker in the deck, at the moment.
Well, if their petition drive is any indication of how the write-in campaign would be organized, I would not bet on it making a difference. ;)
But seriously though, for the time-being I've moved this up to the most vulnerable Dem seat, for obvious reasons. If Wilson is DQed and can't get back on the ballot, it goes to Likely GOP, at least.
I do however think the most likely outcome is for Wilson to win a write-in effort. Even if that's the case I think OH-06 will now be at least a Toss Up at the end of the primary, and possibly Lean GOP.