Just to be clear though, I still rate NM-01 as a Toss Up, not as a Lean Dem. The reason is because it's still no sure bet that the GOP will be in as bad shape as now, if not worse.
If I were to assume that the GOP would enter the Nov election with today's political landscape, I would rate NM-01 a Lean Dem. These are my ratings for GOP-held seats right now in the Lean Dem, Toss Up, and Lean GOP categories.
Lean Democratic
1 (IA-01) Nussle*
2 (OH-18) Ney
3 (CO-07) Beauprez*
4 (PA-06) Gerlach
5 (TX-22) DeLay
Toss Up
6 (AZ-08) Kolbe*
7 (NM-01) Wilson
8 (IN-08) Hostettler
9 (IN-09) Sodrel
10 (WI-08) Green*
11 (WA-08) Reichert
12 (CT-04) Shays
Lean Republican
13 (MN-06) Kennedy*
14 (PA-08) Fitzpatrick
15 (IL-06) Hyde*
16 (CT-02) Simmons
17 (FL-22) Shaw
18 (OH-15) Pryce
19 (CA-50) Cunningham*
20 (KY-04) Davis
21 (NC-11) Taylor
22 (FL-09) Bilirakis*
If the election were held today, I think the GOP would lose the top 8 seats, with 9 & 10 on the cusp. I think they would hold the rest (Reichert on down).
Where is Pombo?