Bush carried the district by 7%, and Pombo has Abramoff rumors, including yipping on the floor defending some Abramoff client in legal trouble (I don't remember the details) and says odd things, too close to the SF metro area (in fact a part of the district juts right into some of those high income RINO precincts I was talking about). A credible Dem with money would drop him.
I still wouldn't worry about that seat too much. The Democrats are overrepresented in the US House delegation in California as it is. I wish we could target Ellen Tauscher, at the very least. I still don't understand why Bill Baker didn't attempt a comeback in '98.