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Pentagon plans to derail Iranian atomic bomb test
UK Times ^ | Feb. 12, 2006 | Philip Sherwell

Posted on 02/11/2006 6:57:43 PM PST by FairOpinion

Iran has drawn up designs for a deep underground tunnel with remote-controlled heat and pressure sensors as part of what Western intelligence officials believe are preparations for a secret atomic test.

The plans, which American and British intelligence conclude are genuine after studying them on a laptop computer smuggled out of Iran by a defector, appear to be the latest evidence that Teheran is conducting a clandestine nuclear weapons programme.

The Natanz enrichment facility The existence of the sophisticated sketches for a 400-metre long subterranean test shaft was made public last week in The Washington Post. The welter of documents and disclosures provides what Western governments believe is an overwhelming circumstantial case that Iran is seeking an "Islamic bomb".

Washington and London won International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) support last weekend for Iran to be reported to the United Nations Security Council, after the clerical regime resumed banned centrifuge research work at its Natanz uranium-enrichment plant.

Publicly, even American hawks such as Vice-President Dick Cheney are backing the diplomatic track to resolve the showdown over Iran's nuclear programme, which Teheran claims is for peaceful energy purposes. But the Sunday Telegraph has learnt from a senior Pentagon adviser that, as the crisis deepened in recent months, military strategists have been updating plans for "last-resort" military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. The raids would be ordered if President George W Bush is advised that they are the only remaining option to prevent the Islamic republic from acquiring atomic weapons.

Jack Straw, the Foreign Secretary, has consistently made clear that Britain opposes a military solution. He fears that even the threat of bombing will sabotage any hope of securing a united international diplomatic front against Teheran - as well as again splitting the Labour Party. British diplomats highlight the chaos that Iran, if attacked, could unleash in the region through its Shia surrogates in Iraq, Hizbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Palestinian territories.

A high-powered British diplomatic delegation visited Washington last week to discuss tactics with Nicholas Burns, the State Department's number three. They want to increase co-operation with Iranian exiles and make better use of satellite television channels and the internet to spread the message inside Iran that the West's opposition to Teheran's nuclear programme is not an imperialist anti-Islamic plot, as the mullahs claim.

Britain is hoping that the threat of action by the Security Council, including possible financial sanctions, will expose differences within the regime on how far to push its game of nuclear brinkmanship. But there is a growing belief in Washington that it will be impossible to win the required Chinese and Russian support at the UN for any significant measures that might inhibit Iran's nuclear ambitions.

The review of the Pentagon's contingency plans follows the stream of recent discoveries of Iran's secret nuclear operations and the virulent rhetoric of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad since he was elected last year. Iran is still thought to be anywhere between three and 10 years away from physically producing a nuclear weapon. But the West and Israel believe the "point of no return" - when Iran's scientists acquire the technological know-how and experience to make an atomic bomb - could be reached much sooner.

The Pentagon adviser told the this newspaper: "We will have reached the point of no return in the next couple of years. If diplomacy hasn't worked by then, Iran will be a long way down the line to acquiring a nuclear weapon. We're talking about choosing the least bad of a series of bad options. President Bush will also be nearing the end of his term and have to decide if he trusts this issue to another administration or wants to use the B2s." In a separate interview, Richard Perle, a senior defence official at the time of the Iraq war and who maintains close links to the military, said that 12 B2 bombers, each carrying dozens of precision-guided weapons, could deliver a serious blow to Iran's nuclear ambitions.

"If the President were faced with the choice between Iran crossing the line to become a nuclear weapon state and using force to destroy or significantly delay that prospect, then I believe he would use force," Mr Perle said. "That decision will be made at the last moment but there is certainly strong contingency planning for that. I think the decision-making elite in Washington would back Mr Bush if that was seen to be his only choice."

Iran has been preparing by strengthening air defence systems and building tunnels intended to hide atomic material and facilities from a bombing campaign, Jane's Defence Weekly reported this month.

The regime has spread its nuclear programme across several sites, some of them underground, after drawing lessons from the 1981 Israeli air strike that wiped out Saddam Hussein's efforts to produce an Iraqi plutonium bomb at Osirak. But United States military strategists believe that by targeting certain key "bottleneck" facilities - probably the Natanz uranium-enrichment site, the Isfahan conversion plant and the Arak heavy water reactor - they could hobble the whole programme for years.

"There may well be secret sites out there but a nuclear programme is not that easy to hide," said Dan Goure, a Pentagon consultant and vice-president of the Lexington Institute defence think-tank. "You need large sites for uranium enrichment and manufacturing plutonium. It's not like a biological or chemical warfare programme: you cannot conduct research in a Petri dish."

Mr Perle and Dr Goure believe that America is better equipped to carry out the attacks than Israel, whose F15s and F16s would encounter refuelling problems. In a further signal that if strikes were required the US would prefer to carry them out, Mr Bush said last week that America would "rise to Israel's defence" if Iran threatened it.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: banglist; dod; iran; irannukes; natanz; nuclear; nuclearbombtest; preemption
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To: joesnuffy
"Whose helping them?.. Providing technological expertise,training,and equipment?..."

That cut-throat Putin.

41 posted on 02/11/2006 7:59:55 PM PST by Salem (FREE REPUBLIC - Fighting to win within the Arena of the War of Ideas! So get in the fight!)
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To: FairOpinion
...sophisticated sketches for a 400-metre long subterranean test shaft...

Don't you see? They are merely digging the well so that the 12th Imam can come up out of it.

42 posted on 02/11/2006 8:00:49 PM PST by Sender (As water has no constant form, there are in war no constant conditions. Be without form. -Sun Tzu)
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To: metmom
I'm in favor of testing atomic bombs in Iran...ours.

Heh heh. Nice to see we agree on something, metmom.

If our test and their test happened to go off at the same time, gosh, it might all look like a horrible accident. Or maybe a sign that Allah is angry.

43 posted on 02/11/2006 8:04:43 PM PST by Right Wing Professor
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To: Sender

It's the grave that Dear Abby has dug for himself.


44 posted on 02/11/2006 8:06:15 PM PST by WestVirginiaRebel (The Democratic Party-Jackass symbol, jackass leaders, jackass supporters.)
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To: Sender
12th Imam can come up out of it.

Thats Impossible because the 12th Imam comes out of my A....
45 posted on 02/11/2006 8:08:17 PM PST by cmsgop ( Cindy is just another Taco in the Chavez Fiesta Platter...........)
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Cuba ties put 'cartoonish' violence near U.S. shores (Cuba-Iran ties)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1576868/posts


"nuclear-minded Iran was making new kissy sounds with head cheerleader Fidel Castro. "



46 posted on 02/11/2006 8:11:23 PM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion; SJackson; yonif; Simcha7; American in Israel; Slings and Arrows; judicial meanz; ...

AMERICA AT WAR
At Salem the Soldier's Homepage ~
Honored member of FReeper Leapfrog's "Enemy of Islam" list.
Islam, a Religion of Peace®? Some links...  by backhoe
Mohammed, The Mad Poet Quoted....  by PsyOp
The Clash of Ideologies - A Review

American Flag

47 posted on 02/11/2006 8:11:30 PM PST by Salem (FREE REPUBLIC - Fighting to win within the Arena of the War of Ideas! So get in the fight!)
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To: Salem

Great homepage!


48 posted on 02/11/2006 8:13:16 PM PST by FairOpinion
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To: cmsgop
LOL!!  !
49 posted on 02/11/2006 8:13:36 PM PST by Salem (FREE REPUBLIC - Fighting to win within the Arena of the War of Ideas! So get in the fight!)
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To: Salem

HEHE!


50 posted on 02/11/2006 8:14:39 PM PST by cmsgop ( Cindy is just another Taco in the Chavez Fiesta Platter...........)
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To: FairOpinion
"British diplomats highlight the chaos that Iran, if attacked, could unleash in the region through its Shia surrogates in Iraq, Hizbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Palestinian territories."

We need a good reason to kill a bunch of these fanatics.

We can handle the Shias in Iraq and Israel is very capable (and, I bet willing) to take care of Hizbollah and Hamas.

So, 'let's roll'!

51 posted on 02/11/2006 8:14:43 PM PST by blam
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To: FairOpinion
Thanks!! A lot of help in content from a lot of people!  !
52 posted on 02/11/2006 8:14:49 PM PST by Salem (FREE REPUBLIC - Fighting to win within the Arena of the War of Ideas! So get in the fight!)
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To: airborne
"Check all of your 'Emergency Preparedness' supplies and procedures."

Thanks. Ready here to roll.

53 posted on 02/11/2006 8:16:50 PM PST by blam
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To: FairOpinion

I'm worried folks. Any advice?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1576874/posts


54 posted on 02/11/2006 8:18:28 PM PST by EastCobbRules
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To: EastCobbRules

The Serenity Prayer

God grant me the serenity
to accept the things I cannot change;
courage to change the things I can;
and wisdom to know the difference.


55 posted on 02/11/2006 8:23:43 PM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion

Sorry forks, this will never happen. We are too weak. Amercia doesn't have the stomach. I not saying this is a bad thing that we won't attack, I just saying we won't.


56 posted on 02/11/2006 8:29:52 PM PST by one more state
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To: Right Wing Professor

Ooops, you mean that WASN'T the lever to emtpy the head?


57 posted on 02/11/2006 8:35:32 PM PST by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: goldstategop

"And I don't doubt for a moment those whackjobs who run Iran would use any WMD in their possession."

The idea with nukes is having them not using them. Iran's prime target at least from their rantings would be Israel. If a rocket heading from Iran towards Israel would cause Israel to launch theirs on Iran. Nobody wins. But to Iran a nuke would be the big stick they could wield to coerce other countries out of fear. If they used a nuke their destruction would be assured. I am highly in favor of a pre-emptive strike to keep them getting a nuke.


58 posted on 02/11/2006 8:35:53 PM PST by jwh_Denver (Liberals is where insanity and lies get together and party.)
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To: jwh_Denver
You presume these are rational people. I'm convinced that people who blow themselves up in the midst of civilian crowds don't have a scruple of moral restraint. They'd use anything to win and so what if the planet was reduced to ashes? As they see it, they'd wipe out the infidel and the Muslims would be the last men left standing. That's why its imperative to stop them for I don't want to find out if they will restrain themselves once they are equipped with WMD.

(Denny Crane: "I Don't Want To Socialize With A Pinko Liberal Democrat Commie. Say What You Like About Republicans. We Stick To Our Convictions. Even When We Know We're Dead Wrong.")

59 posted on 02/11/2006 8:40:08 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

I'm with you buddy! Next Palestinian funeral... drop one...
Next Hajj, the black rock..
Next Danish Cartoon.. keep them coming!


60 posted on 02/11/2006 8:43:28 PM PST by acapesket (never had a vote count in all my years here)
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