"Explain to me, how any politician, with 50% negatives, whose most conservative challenger is within the MoE, and who is losing by 11 points to his most likely challenger, will "easily" be reelected."
I agree. The Republicans should be thrilled with this polling result. It would be an awesome pickup to win back the Governoship in Illinois.
Gov Perry should win his re-election race here in Texas, dunno about how well Arnie is doing. New York may be a lost cause ... so Illinois will help balance out losses elsewhere.
Like your sig. George Allen for President!