From all your extensive posting regarding Iraq, I know by now that you take the side of the Sunnis Arabs because you think that the Shia represent Iran. You are very wrong on this, the Shia Arabs are not the agents of the Persian Shia, just look how badly the Persians treats the Arabs Shia who live in Iran ans these Arab Shia are somewhere around 20% of the total population.
Where pray tell did I say the Sunnis would win? You didn't read what I had to say. I said the Sunnis wouldn't go down easily and I said that for a good reason. Just look at the difference between the US vs the Madhi Army in August 2004 and the US vs the Sunnis and foreign fighters in Fallujah three months later. The Madhi Army was a joke compaired to what the military faced in Fallujah. The Shia are learning and arming, but they still have far to go.
And, you also didn't read my post all that well, because I never said the Shia in Iraq are the same as the Shia in Iran.
If a civil war breaks out the Shia in Iraq will be too busy fighting the Sunnis to keep Iran from sending in large numbers of troops to secure the southern oil fields as well as help Harkim fight the Sunnis and place Harkim in the postion of the new sole leader of Iraq.
Not, all Shia are pro-Iranian scum, but some like Harkim are in my view. Hell, Sadr has been less in bed with Iran then Harkim is.
Zarqawi has been killing Shia for the sole purpose of getting the Shia to kill Sunnis and spark a civil war which would turn the middle of the country into a war zone and allow him to keep a base for sometime in western Iraq.
Given another year we will be able to leave without having to worry about it falling into brutal civil war IMHO.