[rottndog]

The inability to even closely forecast the North Atlantic hurricane season, just as it starts is all the proof I need that the computer models are either incorrect, or the inputted data is incomplete.

Have any idea if/where there is a side by side comparison of computer model projections vs actual data from past hurricane seasons? Seems to me this would be an easy way to force feed some humble pie to the computer model gods.

[SampleMan]

Have any idea if/where there is a side by side comparison of computer model projections vs actual data from past hurricane seasons? Seems to me this would be an easy way to force feed some humble pie to the computer model gods.

Its hard to find the older forecasts. You can find them on the Internet in residual articles, but you have to be careful because they always keep updating their forecasts throughout the season. Also they like to model previous seasons in attempt to find a model that will appear to have a track record. So the pre-season forecasts are the ones I'm talking about.

My nineteen years of experience in Florida has been that they are wrong as much as they are right and I'm just talking about being in the ball park (above average, average, below average number of storms).