All you have to do is count the years from 1990, when the Soviet Union fell - and know that we will need more ships, more covert agents, more interpreters, more of everything, by the year 2015. The Navy is allowing Rummy to push through some serious ship cuts that the US will regret, but regret too late to do anything about it.
I love Rummy but I do not agree with him entirely on his "transformational" theory for the Military. It is flawed, IMHO.
The big flaw in Rummy's transformation is that it leave us totally vulnerable to EMP weaponry, and also vulnerable to a billion man march by China.