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CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: HIGHEST LEVEL IN THREE YEARS
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Posted on 01/31/2006 7:02:38 AM PST by SoFloFreeper

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To: Phantom Lord

It doesn't include capital gains... but it does include contributions...

It is a problem, but if your 401k is worth only $10,000 (about 50% of americans with 401ks are around this mark) or even $50,000 (the average value), and you aren't making additional contributions, you'll be woefully unprepared for any form of retirement.


41 posted on 01/31/2006 7:35:44 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: OldFriend

Well, 401k and roth ***contributions*** are considered savings. And if you're maxing out your legal limits there, you should have additional savings. If you're paying principal on your mortgage, that's savings.

Agreed - the 0.25% interest at the local bank is pathetic. Try EmigrantDirect or UFBDirect for better savings rates (4.25%). Or ladder some treasury bills (4.8% YE on 91 day).


42 posted on 01/31/2006 7:39:33 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: mainepatsfan

"This won't change the Dems response to the speech tonight."

Speaking of the speech - Tonight in the State Of The Union speech it most certain President with include a tribute to the passing of Mrs. King, which is the appropriate thing to do. Who will be the first democrat coming out condemning Bush for using her name for his only political gain? It will happen, trust me.


43 posted on 01/31/2006 7:40:09 AM PST by NavyCanDo
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To: SoFloFreeper

Investments IN are considered savings. As are payments on principal on loans. If your savings rate is 0%, that means you essentially aren't paying off your mortgage or making 401k contributions

Capital gains are not included.


44 posted on 01/31/2006 7:41:07 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: SoFloFreeper

Investments ARE considered savings. The capital gains from the investment are not.


45 posted on 01/31/2006 7:41:56 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: Common Tator
The real Bush job approval numbers are likely in the 51 to 53 percent range. They are a tiny bit better than they were on Election day 2004.

I would tend to think that the Bush job approval numbers actually are in the mid 40's. Some of that number would be coming from conservatives who have issue differences with the President, but would still vote for him over a Democratic candidate.

IMHO Bush would still win a national election against an unnamed Democrat by 2 or 3 percentage points, and possibly get a majority of the overall vote.

46 posted on 01/31/2006 7:42:42 AM PST by NeonKnight (We don't believe you, you need more people.)
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To: conservative physics

The problem is that if you are saving in the equity in your home, you should be paying off the mortgage, right? Payments on principal ARE considered personal savings.


47 posted on 01/31/2006 7:43:22 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: NavyCanDo

If he didn't they'd rip him for not doing it so he can't win either way.


48 posted on 01/31/2006 7:45:25 AM PST by mainepatsfan
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To: JZelle

I'm not sure. I guess the Dem bench is pretty thin these days.


49 posted on 01/31/2006 7:46:53 AM PST by mainepatsfan
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To: tellw
If I put money into a 401k and my company matches part of it is that considered part of "personal savings"?

I believe the answer is no, it's not counted. And if you buy a car, 100% of the purchase comes off of your income this year...even if it is financed. Treat many of these indicators with a healthy disrespect.

50 posted on 01/31/2006 7:47:44 AM PST by jdsteel (Go Steelers!)
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To: jdsteel

Actually, the answer is YES.

The capital gains are not considered savings. Contributions are, though.


51 posted on 01/31/2006 7:52:17 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: eraser2005
The savings rate is just a ratio of how much of your "disposable income" you put into savings.

The portion of your mortgage payment that goes towards principle isn't counted, and neither is money deducted from your paycheck for 401K's or other retirement plans.

The only thing that has changed is that most people are too smart to put there extra disposable income into a savings account that earns 1% when other alternatives that are much more profitable are easily available.

you might want to read this article
http://www.brownsvilleherald.com/ts_more.php?id=69090_0_10_0_C
52 posted on 01/31/2006 7:57:00 AM PST by conservative physics
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To: conservative physics; ERASER; SoFloFreeper

This is a dated article but gives an in depth view of the way the savings is figured and problems with the model.

http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1094/is_3_34/ai_55294828

Looks fairly detailed, I only had time to scan it.


53 posted on 01/31/2006 8:00:23 AM PST by A.Hun (Common sense is no longer common.)
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To: conservative physics

Try reading at BEA.

http://www.bea.gov/bea/faq/national/pi_negativesavings.htm

Principal IS counted. 401K contributions ARE counted.


54 posted on 01/31/2006 8:07:20 AM PST by eraser2005
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To: SoFloFreeper
Indicators like this make me believe the "polls" showing Bush in the low 40s are CRAP.

How about indicators like this?

Housing Slowdown Squeezes Borrowers: Foreclosures Hit 12-Year High

55 posted on 01/31/2006 8:07:52 AM PST by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: mainepatsfan
This won't change the Dems response to the speech tonight.

Absolutely not, they never let facts get in the way of anything they say. All their pre-buttals and rebuttals to the president's speech are a waste of time anyway, no one cares.

56 posted on 01/31/2006 8:20:28 AM PST by ReaganRevolution
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To: NavyCanDo
If the President simply asks for a moment of prayer for Mrs. King there will be NO carping.

He will not doubt have Sandra Day O'Connor sitting with Mrs. Bush as she can't be walking in with the supremes tonight.

HOW SWEET IT IS.

If she hadn't submitted her resignation we would not now be celebrating this victory for America.

57 posted on 01/31/2006 8:23:51 AM PST by OldFriend (The Dems enABLEd DANGER and 3,000 Americans died.)
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To: ReaganRevolution

And no one watches.


58 posted on 01/31/2006 8:27:20 AM PST by mainepatsfan
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To: Phantom Lord
6 years of media pounding on Bush as Hoover.

So it's like individual consumer confidence is great but everyone thinks the economy is in the tank for everyone else because of the reporting.

59 posted on 01/31/2006 9:21:32 AM PST by Mike Darancette (Condimaniac)
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To: Mike Darancette

Yep. Its like Rush often notes, when people are asked about their personal situation they say they are doing fine, 'but worry that their neighbor might be having trouble'.


60 posted on 01/31/2006 9:22:27 AM PST by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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