WHO to send team to Iraq (H5N1 cluster, H2H possible, 30 being tested, 2 others in hospital)

CBC ^ | 1-30-06

[demoRat watcher]

If you do not put stuff you do not write in quote marks, and footnote it, it is called plagiarism.

[Admin Moderator]

Drop it, she's working on our requirements.

[Domestic Church]

Get any Canadian geese there? How about peregrine falcons?

[Domestic Church]

"Adding to the above.............

I well remember when reports of HIV Aides were in the "hint" stage."

I saw a case in Philly back in '79 before it was recognized as anything but a rarity.

[TexasTransplant]

Surrounded by Whooping Cranes, Geese and Bird Sanctuaries, the Gulf of Mexico attracts all birds (prevailing wind), not to mention I have Ducks, Chickens and Guinea Fowl. I am not trying to be the last guy standing on Mount St Helens, I'm just saying that "hundreds" of deaths worldwide does not or is not a Pandemic (it is still a yet/if).

I'm not ready to run in circles screaming the Sky is Falling, I am also not Stupid, my Physician has recommended that I dispatch all of my fowl and replace them at a later date, just for insurance so that I won't get sued by neighbors if anyone gets ill. (Yes my Family GP also gives me (free) Legal advice, as well as being a friend, fellow VFW member and his wife makes the best french bread rolls and potato salad, I can gain weight and drool just thinking about them)
TT

[Ronaldus Magnus]

Thank you for your service to all of us in posting this critical information. Could you please add me to your ping list?

[Ronaldus Magnus]

If you do not put stuff you do not write in quote marks, and footnote it, it is called plagiarism.

Plagiarism is the act of attributing someone else's work to one's self. Can you explain how an anonymous poster could possibly plagiarize anything when they haven't revealed who they are beyond an obviously phony screen name? It might possibly be poor excerpting or even copyright infringement, but your accusation of plagiarism seems at best to be unfounded.

[Mother Abigail]

http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=2892934&PageNum=0

Wild birds die on mass scale in Crimean resort zone

31.01.2006, 10.40

SIMFEROPOL, January 31 (Itar-Tass) - Over 300 dead wild ducks have been found in the resort zone of Ukraine's Crimea over the past three days.

"Expertise has confirmed the bird flu virus in dead birds from Alushta," the city administration has reported.

A daily monitoring of beaches has been introduced in resort areas.

Specialists examine the beaches several times a day. "Ukraine is on the list of risk zone countries, where a bird flu pandemic is possible after the spring migration of birds begin," Health Minister Yuri Polyachenko said on Monday. According to him, Ukraine is getting ready for a possible pandemic.

The Ukrainian Health Ministry and the Ministry for Emergency Situations are developing a joint plan of actions for the case of an emergency situation. They hold joint exercises among other measures.

Meanwhile, specialists are getting ready for the worst scenario, including the evacuation of people.

[Mother Abigail]

Done

[redgolum]

Six stages.

We are at stage 5 now, limited H2H transmission, but not quite to stage 6 (easy H2H transmission).

Stage 7 is "pandemic", which would be bad.

[dd5339]

Actually per WHO we are at a stage 3.

I've also noted that they have not changed their level in over a month. Maybe they aren't taking into account the cases in Turkey and now Iraq.

Mind you I don't actually agree with WHO, I'd more agree that we are into stage 4 at this time.

Semper Fi

[grey_whiskers]

I am not any kind of epidemiologist, but I have heard that this bug would have to go through five evolutions to get to the point where it could be a human-to-human infectious agent.

How many "generations" are there in a typical human host? What is the typical viral load (virii /cc of blood for example)?

And, what is the typical mutation rate in base pairs / generation?

You know, by analogy to the non-irreducibly complex flagellum and its taking six key mutations...

Cheers!