so they abstain and swing the vote to the Dims : 49 no /46 yes / 4 abstain ? (or something like that?_
No.
51 GOP votes for Alito.
3 Dem votes for Alito.
That's 54 Votes for confirmation so far.
4 GOP Senators who will all likely vote for Cloture but all may not vote for confirmation.
2 Dem Senators who will vote for Cloture.
Quote: "so they abstain and swing the vote to the Dims : 49 no /46 yes / 4 abstain ? (or something like that?"
There are 55 Republicans, 44 dems and 1 dumbass. Thus it would be 51 yes, 45 no, 4 idiots. But, some dems have agreed to vote for Alito. Ergo the yes votes (counting the abstensions) are 53, I think.